Baby Boom Replay 2019
And today we are sharing one of the most tender videos of all: a... 4 yıl önce Pas de monétisation. Yıl önce Baby Boom - Rectal Thermometer: After discovering that the baby might be sick, J. C. (Diane Keaton) takes her temperature the... 11 aylar önce Thanks to your prayers, 16742 babies will celebrate Christmas this year! Celebrate a 2019 filled with blessings--and meet the new...
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One major reason a baby boom isn't likely: the economy Financial uncertainty often makes people postpone -- or even forgo -- decisions to have children. Case in point: the aftermath of the Great Recession, the economic downturn that begin in late 2007. "Fertility dropped substantially. That's not unusual. That often happens during difficult economic times, " Johnson says. But what is surprising, Johnson says, is that since then, the birth rate hasn't bounced back. It's been declining ever since. And demographers say the uncertainty fueled by the novel coronavirus pandemic isn't going to make matters any better. This disaster isn't the same as a blackout or hurricane, says Rogelio Sáenz, a professor in the Department of Demography at the University of Texas at San Antonio. "Those are short-term kinds of things that take place. This is going to be a drastically long kind of event, and also with the economic impacts.... Economic uncertainty really impacts fertility, " he said. "This is likely to lead to even further drops in fertility and births as well. "
(CNN) It's a topic of speculation every time a disaster hits. Will we see a "baby boom" nine months later, since so many couples are cooped up inside with nowhere to go? Sure, this kind of trend has been reported before. But demographers think it's unlikely to occur this time around. In fact, they say the United States will probably see the number of births decrease. And other notable population shifts are likely as well. "There's no way that the number of births is going to go up, " says Kenneth Johnson, a professor of sociology and demographer at the University of New Hampshire. "This is not the kind of environment in which people say, 'Let's bring a child into the world now. '" Even before the pandemic hit, demographers say a combination of factors -- fewer births, more deaths and less immigration -- were already creating a "perfect storm" slowing the nation's population growth. Add to that the changes coronavirus is expected to bring on all these fronts, and that storm is only going to intensify.
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What will this mean for the US population growth rate? Demographers say it's too soon to say. "It could certainly be the lowest growth rate in US history, " Johnson says. If the death toll does end up being higher than the White House model predicts, the United States could experience something that's never happened before: a year-to-year decline in its population. "There's potential for population loss over the coming year, " Sáenz says. William Frey, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, says the past decade is already on pace to be the slowest for population growth in US history. But he doesn't think the coronavirus will move the needle as much when it comes to overall population numbers. "I wouldn't go so far as to say that this Covid-19 is going to make us become a declining population. I think that's a shorter-term thing and things will sort of bounce back, " he says. "We'll have the normal death rates going forward. There will be some shorter-term shifts in the population. "